Leveling up AI: how close are we to self-driving cars? (2024)

Automated Driving 4 min read

Getting your car to do the driving for you is the automotive industry's end goal, but the journey isn't straightforward.

Self-driving cars are one of the most exciting developments in automotive history. But the arrival of vehicles with no one behind the wheel is taking longer than most of us expected. According to recent predictions, the automotive industry will not develop a fully self-driving car until 2035.

So, while everyone agrees that autonomous vehicles are the future, there is plenty of debate about how soon this future will arrive.

Leveling up AI: how close are we to self-driving cars? (1)

A winding road

Despite the great enthusiasm from both the automotive industry and its eager customers, the journey toward full autonomy is more complex than it appears. To maintain the forward momentum, self-driving systems require not only technological advancements but also regulatory and societal acceptance. There are many boxes to tick. Factors such as safety, reliability, infrastructure adaptation and legal frameworks are all crucial aspects that require careful consideration before autonomous vehicles can become broadly accepted.

Let’s look at the timeframe. Cars that are currently in the manufacturing process will likely be on the road for at least 20 years or more. And although automated to a certain extent, these cars are not fully autonomous. What this means is that the transition to cars that are fully in control will be gradual and human drivers will continue to share the roads with vehicles that drive themselves for quite some time. And the mixed traffic comes with an entire set of challenges we have yet to discover.

Ahead of the curve

Despite these obstacles, researchers are leveraging artificial intelligence (AI) to accelerate the development of driverless vehicles. They're developing new approaches that use reinforcement learning with neural networks, aiming to enhance the performance and safety of self-driving cars. These efforts are part of a broader trend in the automotive industry where AI and machine learning technologies are increasingly being used to drive innovation.

The environment seems to agree. Looking at the trends from CES 2024, it's evident that the automotive sphere is focusing on sustainability and AI-driven technologies. Sophisticated features such as lidar sensors, which use light in the form of a pulsed laser to measure distances, are playing a pivotal role in the development of autonomous vehicles.

It's safe to say that technological advancement is one of the key ingredients in the advancement of self-driving systems. Whether lidar, advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS) or intelligent speed assistance (ISA), no innovation in driverless car systems can go very far without location technology. Combining location data with AI can enable cars to understand their environment better, allowing them to make informed decisions that enhance safety and efficiency on the road.

Leveling up AI: how close are we to self-driving cars? (3)

Hiding in plain sight

Despite the steady innovation that is constantly improving safety and efficiency, there's a debate worth having about how autonomous vehicles will integrate into traffic and if they should somehow stand out. Unlike conventional automobiles where the focus is on driving, autonomous vehicles prioritize the passenger experience. This shift in focus brings new design considerations.

For instance, with no need for a driver, the interior space of the co*ckpit can be reimagined to enhance comfort, safety and convenience. And while some believe that self-driving cars should be like conventional cars, others argue that their unique functionality and priorities need a more recognizable design. Only time will tell.

Leveling up AI: how close are we to self-driving cars? (4)

Driving progress

With steady advancements in self-driving systems and the integration of AI and other in-vehicle technologies, a future where driverless cars roam the streets is slowly turning from a concept to reality. And while autonomous vehicles might not be a common sight on today's roads, self-driving cars are definitely on the horizon.

Leveling up AI: how close are we to self-driving cars? (2024)

FAQs

Leveling up AI: how close are we to self-driving cars? ›

According to recent predictions, the automotive industry will not develop a fully self-driving car until 2035. So, while everyone agrees that autonomous vehicles are the future, there is plenty of debate about how soon this future will arrive. Read more: What's the difference between autonomous and automated driving?

How close are we to fully autonomous cars? ›

You won't be able to fall asleep at the wheel anytime soon. The autonomous vehicle (AV) industry will not develop a fully self-driving car until 2035, according to a recent prediction from research firm GlobalData.

How close is Tesla to full self-driving? ›

Full Self Driving, or FSD, is an upgrade to Tesla's Autopilot driver assistant. Tesla doesn't yet make or sell cars capable of full autonomous driving.

What level of self-driving cars are we at? ›

SAE International has defined five levels of automation , from Level 0 to Level 5, with Level 5 being full automation. The most advanced vehicles available today are already functioning at a Level 2, and many manufacturers are promising higher levels of automation in the near future.

How is AI impacting self-driving cars? ›

AI is a critical technology required to realize autonomous driving. The extreme compute performance required for an autonomous vehicle based on AI requires an innovative memory and storage system to process and hold the vast amount of data necessary for a computer to make decisions like a human.

How long until level 5 self-driving cars? ›

Initially, there were lofty plans to soon launch robotaxi fleets, but this has now been replaced with a timeline with a significant delay. Global AV sales of Level 4 and 5 in 2030 are now expected to number only 250,000 units. However, that is expected to rise to 4 million by 2040.

Are there any Level 3 autonomous cars in the US? ›

While Tesla calls its driver assistance system "Full Self-Driving," with CEO Elon Musk promising, and then failing to deliver, Level 4 or Level 5 autonomy, it is actually Mercedes-Benz that officially achieved the feat of getting a Level 3 car on a U.S. road.

Can you lose Tesla full self driving? ›

Full Self-Driving (Supervised) Suspension

Use of Full Self-Driving (Supervised) will be suspended if improper usage is detected.

What happens if Autopilot is disabled 5 times? ›

If you receive several 'Forced Autopilot Disengagements' (three times for vehicles without a cabin camera and five times for vehicles with a cabin camera), Autosteer and all features that use Autosteer will be temporarily removed for approximately one week.

What level of self driving is a Tesla? ›

Driving features

Tesla's Autopilot is classified as Level 2 under the SAE six levels (0 to 5) of vehicle automation. At this level, the car can act autonomously, but requires the driver to monitor the driving at all times and be prepared to take control at a moment's notice.

Are there any level 5 autonomous cars? ›

Currently, Level 5 is the stuff of dreams. With only a few companies having mastered Level 4 driving—and those vehicles being unavailable to consumers—it doesn't make sense to leapfrog to Level 5 just yet. “Theoretically, a Level 5 vehicle can operate anywhere,” Lu said.

Are there any level 4 autonomous vehicles? ›

This is known as geofencing. As such, most Level 4 vehicles in existence are geared toward ridesharing. For example: NAVYA, a French company, is already building and selling Level 4 shuttles and cabs in the U.S. that run fully on electric power and can reach a top speed of 55 mph.

Which car company has the best self-driving technology? ›

Verdict
Car and rankingEase of useHands-off
1. Tesla Model Y55
2. Audi RS Q855
3. BMW iX355
4. Nissan Qashqai45
6 more rows

Are self-driving cars weak AI? ›

While human input accelerates the growth phase of Strong AI, it is not required, and over time, it develops a human-like consciousness instead of simulating it, like Weak AI. Self-driving cars and virtual assistants, like Siri, are examples of Weak AI.

Who is the father of AI? ›

John McCarthy is considered as the father of Artificial Intelligence. John McCarthy was an American computer scientist. The term "artificial intelligence" was coined by him.

Are there any fully autonomous cars? ›

Despite the implied claims of some automakers, there is no fully autonomous vehicle for sale right now. However, several brands are making impressive advances in the field, These breakthroughs combine advanced safety systems to help reduce driver fatigue by assisting with acceleration, braking and steering.

What percentage of cars will be autonomous by 2030? ›

The analysis by ABI Research predicts almost 70% of new passenger cars will have some level of driving automation. A new report from ABI Research forecasts that by the year 2030, 69.3% of all new passenger vehicle sales will include some level of driving automation, specifically SAE levels 2 and above.

Is level 5 autonomy possible? ›

Level 5 cars won't even have steering wheels or acceleration/braking pedals. They will be free from geofencing, able to go anywhere and do anything that an experienced human driver can do. Fully autonomous cars are undergoing testing in several pockets of the world, but none are yet available to the general public.

Are there any fully autonomous cars on the market? ›

Despite the implied claims of some automakers, there is no fully autonomous vehicle for sale right now. However, several brands are making impressive advances in the field, These breakthroughs combine advanced safety systems to help reduce driver fatigue by assisting with acceleration, braking and steering.

Is the world ready for autonomous vehicles? ›

It will take some time for fully autonomous vehicles (Level 5) to be deployed everywhere. The technology needed for driverless cars is more than impressive, but there are still a lot of issues to be resolved. According to experts, the number of vehicles on the road equipped with “Citypilot” will increase around 2030.

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