Future of Automotive - KPMG Global (2024)

Future of Automotive - KPMG Global (1)

Changing the way cars are built, used and sold in a connected world.

Changing the way cars are built, used and sold in a connected world.

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In the past few years automakers, and everyone in the automotive ecosystem — from component manufacturers to design engineers to marketing and finance executives to investors, dealers, and customers - have been confronted with massive change.

Future success for automakers will be determined by their ability to adapt to five categories of change that require strategic responses and changes in business and operating models.

Future of automotiveChanging the way cars are built, used, and sold in a connected worldDownload PDF ⤓

Signals of change

  • How cars work. The shift to electric power trains leaves traditional internal combustion engine (ICE) automakers furiously pursuing electric vehicle (EV) strategies—and facing new competitors.
  • How cars are built. The shift to EVs requires new ways of building cars—with completely different components and technologies.
  • How cars are used. New ownership and usage models like ride hailing, ride sharing, and subscriptions continue to gain traction, with vehicles used on an “as-a-service” basis.
  • How cars are sold. Consumers have been shopping for cars online for years. Now they want to complete all their other vehicle-related transactions online, too.
  • How the industry is regulated. Policy and regulatory changes are critical to EV transition. Countries and states have set deadlines for ending ICE vehicle sales.

In the Future of Automotive report, KPMG professionals look at how these changes create eight strategic imperatives. To fulfil these strategic imperatives, KPMG professionals believe that companies will need to become “connected enterprises”—organizations that use data and digital technology to function more smoothly, develop innovative products, connect with customers and suppliers, make rapid decisions with confidence, and give employees the tools to succeed.

Strategic
imperatives

Rethink manufacturing, supply chains and partners

  • As cars become ‘computers on wheels’, more value comes from digital technology design and software.
  • Manufacturing is going modular, with less in-house production and greater focus on design and assembly.
  • The shift to EV as well as supply chain challenges are causing a rethink of manufacturing footprints.

Organize for the EV transition

  • EVs and ICE vehicles have different requirements.
  • Automakers are separating EV, ICE and commercial businesses.
  • JVs are also emerging to share the cost of EV development.

Monetize the connected vehicle experience

  • Connected vehicle services offer revenue streams for OEMs.
  • Automakers can strengthen customer relationships via infotainment.
  • B2B revenues from fleet management technology, tax and expense management, and software upgrades are possible.

Build out as-a-service models

  • Subscription models are expected to grow rapidly with a wide range of options, including time- or mileage-based pricing, insurance and maintenance.
  • OEMs offer subscriptions to ride-sharing and/or mobility services, while some owners could have the option to lend their vehicles to public ride-sharing services.
  • New mobility entrants bring competition and partnership opportunities.

Create a seamless direct sales experience

  • Customers buy direct from OEMs with vehicles delivered through dealers.
  • Recent US consolidation has seen a rise in brand-agnostic digital mega-dealers.
  • Shifting from traditional dealership models to direct sales is a major operational and cultural change.

Harness data to boost customer lifetime value

  • Aftermarket services improve customer experience, with remote services like maintenance and spare parts delivered at home or at hubs.
  • 3D printing makes parts available faster and closer to the customer.
  • OEMs could own the entire aftermarket experience or outsource to third parties.

Financing mobility

  • Increasing demand for financing presents opportunities to grow captive finance businesses.
  • Financing remains a revenue source for dealers and OEMs as they sell more vehicles direct and become one-stop-shops for vehicle services.
  • Fleet management services, vehicle insurance, extended warranty, and payment processing offer further revenue opportunities.

Attract talent to the sector

  • Automakers struggle to attract and retain the talent to design and build connected, electric vehicles.
  • Some OEMs have set up R&D and design shops in Silicon Valley and recruited technology leaders.
  • The sector needs to adopt Silicon Valley mindsets and ways of working, reduce working hours and improve employee benefits.

Rethink manufacturing, supply chains and partners

  • As cars become ‘computers on wheels’, more value comes from digital technology design and software.
  • Manufacturing is going modular, with less in-house production and greater focus on design and assembly.
  • The shift to EV as well as supply chain challenges are causing a rethink of manufacturing footprints.

Organize for the EV transition

  • EVs and ICE vehicles have different requirements.
  • Automakers are separating EV, ICE and commercial businesses.
  • JVs are also emerging to share the cost of EV development.

Monetize the connected vehicle experience

  • Connected vehicle services offer revenue streams for OEMs.
  • Automakers can strengthen customer relationships via infotainment.
  • B2B revenues from fleet management technology, tax and expense management, and software upgrades are possible.

Build out as-a-service models

  • Subscription models are expected to grow rapidly with a wide range of options, including time- or mileage-based pricing, insurance and maintenance.
  • OEMs offer subscriptions to ride-sharing and/or mobility services, while some owners could have the option to lend their vehicles to public ride-sharing services.
  • New mobility entrants bring competition and partnership opportunities.

Create a seamless direct sales experience

  • Customers buy direct from OEMs with vehicles delivered through dealers.
  • Recent US consolidation has seen a rise in brand-agnostic digital mega-dealers.
  • Shifting from traditional dealership models to direct sales is a major operational and cultural change.

Harness data to boost customer lifetime value

  • Aftermarket services improve customer experience, with remote services like maintenance and spare parts delivered at home or at hubs.
  • 3D printing makes parts available faster and closer to the customer.
  • OEMs could own the entire aftermarket experience or outsource to third parties.

Financing mobility

  • Increasing demand for financing presents opportunities to grow captive finance businesses.
  • Financing remains a revenue source for dealers and OEMs as they sell more vehicles direct and become one-stop-shops for vehicle services.
  • Fleet management services, vehicle insurance, extended warranty, and payment processing offer further revenue opportunities.

Attract talent to the sector

  • Automakers struggle to attract and retain the talent to design and build connected, electric vehicles.
  • Some OEMs have set up R&D and design shops in Silicon Valley and recruited technology leaders.
  • The sector needs to adopt Silicon Valley mindsets and ways of working, reduce working hours and improve employee benefits.
The future of automotiveChanging the way cars are built, used, and sold in a connected world.The future of automotiveChanging the way cars are built, used, and sold in a connected world.Opens in a new window

KPMG Connected Enterprise

KPMG professionals can help you harness technology to build a connected enterprise. That's an enterprise where your front, middle and back offices are aligned. An enterprise where you're more connected with your customers, employees and business partners. An enterprise that enables you to respond quickly to market signals and pivot to help seize opportunities as they arise.

KPMG Connected Enterprise is a digital transformation approach, that’s industry-specific and customer-centric. It helps focus critical processes, functions, and relationships of a business on meeting customer expectations, creating business value and driving sustainable growth in a digital world.

Organizations that invest purposefully in these capabilities are twice as likely to meet customer expectations, achieve their objectives and deliver return on investment.*

You can discover how connected your organization is by using the diagnostic tool. It assesses you against industry best practice and highlights the opportunities and challenges that may affect your ability to become a connected enterprise.


  • 2xImpact

*Base: 1,299 professionals involved with customer strategy decisions

Source: A commissioned study conducted by Forrester Consulting on behalf of KPMG, 2018. The research was conducted on a sector specific basis. Each capability is enabled by five level two capabilities.

Learn more about KPMG firms' automotive practiceor contact a KPMG professional who is ready to help you address new challenges and drive growth.

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Future of Automotive - KPMG Global (2024)

FAQs

What is the future of the automotive industry? ›

What does the future of automotive look like? Growth will be fueled by micro markets and the new mobility advances. Trends suggest that between ride-sharing and the rise of autonomous vehicles, the concept of individual ownership may decline in appeal over the next decade or so.

What is the next big thing in automotive? ›

The rise of electric vehicles (EVs)

In 2024 electric vehicles are expected to dominate the automotive market more than ever before. With major automakers investing heavily in the development of electric platforms, EVs are becoming more accessible, affordable, and technologically advanced.

What will the automotive industry look like in 2025? ›

By 2025, 25% of cars sold will have electric engines, up from 5% today. But most of those will be hybrids, and 95% of cars will still rely on fossil fuels for at least part of their power. That means automakers will need to make internal combustion engines more efficient to comply with new standards.

What is the automotive industry forecast for 2024? ›

With higher supply and lower prices, new-vehicle sales in 2024 are expected to gain over 2023, but market growth will be constrained, with an increase of less than 2% expected and the market new-vehicle market reaching sales of 15.7 million1 sales.

What will the automotive industry look like in 2030? ›

By 2030, the auto industry will transform with electric vehicles, autonomous technologies, and sustainability at the forefront, offering new opportunities for innovation and a greener future.

What is the future outlook of the US auto industry? ›

The auto industry weathered a volatile environment in recent years but has settled into a positive trend in 2024. While challenges remain from higher interest rates and supply chain disruptions, the outlook for sales is upbeat and the industry is prepared to adapt to changing consumer preferences in coming years.

What will replace cars in the future? ›

Eventually, one could envision most daily travel needs being met by cheap battery-powered vehicles like Segway-style walkers, electric bikes or scooters, or one- or two-person urban pod cars, with long-distance travel reserved for specialized vehicles.

What is the new technology in 2024 in the automotive industry? ›

Connected Cars and the Internet of Things (IoT)

In 2024, we can expect to see more connected car features, such as remote diagnostics, over-the-air software updates and advanced infotainment systems, becoming a standard offering in new vehicles and the automotive industry overview.

What will cars be like in 10 years? ›

Based on our expert's predictions, cars in 10 years' time will still look quite familiar, and resemble some of the high-end super cars usually reserved for the rich and famous. Advances in materials could increase the use of carbon fiber, graphene and composites in automotive manufacturing.

What are the mega trends in the automotive industry? ›

The five automotive megatrends — autonomous, electrification, enriched cabins, connectivity, and zonal architectures — are transforming the automotive industry with a significant impact on memory and storage requirements for use in vehicles.

What is the future of cars in 2050? ›

In 2050, a typical new vehicle will be much more than just a mode of transport; it will represent a highly integrated, intelligent ecosystem. The interior will be revolutionized by advanced technologies, such as holographic displays and interactive 3D surfaces.

What is the forecast for the automotive industry? ›

Here's what to expect for the auto industry in 2024: 1. Sales of new cars should hit 15.7 million, up from 2023. Vehicle availability has steadily improved after years of shortages, so more shoppers should find a ride to suit them.

Does the automotive industry have a future? ›

The automotive industry never stops evolving with new and exciting technology emerging every year. So far in 2024, we have seen a range of new technology that will change how we drive and interact with our cars.

What is the outlook for the automotive industry? ›

US auto sector will be more resilient than in Europe

In the US, we forecast production growth of 4% YoY in 2024, supported by sales growth of 2.5%. In Europe, we expect weak industry growth (production and sales) of between 1% and 2%. In the European Union (EU), EVs are driving new car registrations.

Why is the automotive industry declining? ›

Supply chain issues and a shortage of crucial semiconductor chips, coupled with high interest rates and low inventory sent car sales tumbling. Only 13.7 million vehicles were sold in 2022, a drop of 8% from 2021 and the lowest total since 2011, according to research firm Wards Intelligence.

What will happen to car mechanics in the future? ›

The BLS predicts that the need for automotive technicians will change very little from 2021 to 2031. Which maintenance services will be required by future vehicles is unknown, as both electric and gas-powered models get more advanced.

How will cars change in the next 10 years? ›

Based on our expert's predictions, cars in 10 years' time will still look quite familiar, and resemble some of the high-end super cars usually reserved for the rich and famous. Advances in materials could increase the use of carbon fiber, graphene and composites in automotive manufacturing.

Is the automotive industry a growing industry? ›

New York, United States, March 14, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- The Global Automotive Industry Size is to Grow from USD 3,564.67 Billion in 2023 to USD 6,861.45 Billion by 2033, at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 6.77% during the projected period.

Will the automotive industry bounce back? ›

The automotive supply chain will likely never look like it did pre-pandemic, but inventory levels generally recovered in 2023 and are expected to continue doing so in 2024 and 2025. Car prices remain elevated in 2024 due to inflation but are showing initial signs of decreasing as inventory stabilizes.

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